In February 2025 the IRS terminated approximately 7,000 (mostly recently hired) employees (leaving the IRS with approximately 90,000 employees). But now in March 2025 news reports suggest the IRS will commence terminating an even larger number of employees. As recently reported by the Associated Press, “the IRS is drafting plans to cut its workforce by as much as half through a mix of layoffs, attrition and incentivized buyouts.” Cut its workforce by half? From 90,000 to 45,000 employees? Wow. This sounds drastic, and from my perspective, given the antiquated system the IRS currently uses to provide withholding tax refunds, this could dramatically slow the refund process down. Let’s see why below.
The Amount of the Average Real Estate Withholding Tax Refund Is So Much Greater than the Typical Generic Tax Refund
If you’re a reader of this blog, you’ll note in prior blog posts I’ve walked through in varying degrees of detail how the IRS processes withholding tax refunds for non-US sellers of US real estate. It’s a highly outdated process (in my opinion) requiring IRS employees to match a non-US person to a (often very large) withholding tax check and IRS forms submitted to the IRS (usually in the calendar year before the tax return as filed…although sometimes the withholding tax check was submitted to the IRS two or more years before the tax return is filed). I summarize the non-US person real estate withholding tax process again below. Keep in mind as I walk through this again- the IRS process (as it exists today) of providing real estate withholding tax refunds requires the availability and attentiveness of human beings. The notion of cutting the number of IRS employees in half seems to me like a big threat to the refund process (a process which is already slow and fragile). And in this area the size of the refunds is typically huge. We are not talking about a $1,500 tax refund for a typical US IRS Form 1040. Foreign sellers of US real estate are often entitled to tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars in IRS refunds (we sometimes see refunds in the millions). What will happen when the IRS has only half the number of employees to process refunds in the amount of hundreds of thousands of dollars owed to foreign sellers of US real estate?